Оценка экологического риска. Аналитический обзор публикаций
Автор: Дмитриев Виктор Георгиевич
Журнал: Арктика и Север @arcticandnorth
Рубрика: Экология
Статья в выпуске: 14, 2014 года.
Бесплатный доступ
На основе обзора современных публикаций в статье анализируется роль моделирования в оценке риска, рассматриваются понятия экологического риска, риска здоровью человека, раскрываются проблемы и методология оценки экологического риска [2]. Все эти вопросы имеют прямое отношение к ситуации в Арктике.
Обзор, риск, экологический риск, арктика, вероятностный анализ риска, охрана окружающей среды, экология
Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/14822981
IDR: 14822981
Список литературы Оценка экологического риска. Аналитический обзор публикаций
- Sornette D., Maillart T., Kroger W. Exploring the limits of safety analysis in complex technological systems/Risk Center, Zurich, 2013. http://arxiv.org/pdf/1207.5674.pdf.
- May R. and McLean A. Theoretical Ecology. Principles and Applications/Oxford University Press Inc., New York. 2007. 268 pp.
- Legendre P., Legendre L. Numerical Ecology. Second English edition/Elsevier Science B.V., Amsterdam, 1998. 853 pp.
- Gillman, M. An introduction to mathematical models in ecology and evolution: time and space/A John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., 2nd ed. 2009. 167 pp.
- Марчук Г. И. Математическое моделирование в проблеме окружающей среды/М.: Наука.
- Главная редакция физико-математической литературы, 1982. 320 с.
- Авдин В. В. Математическое моделирование экосистем: Учебное пособие/Челябинск: Изд-во ЮУрГУ. 2004. 80 с.
- Острейковский В. А. Математическое моделирование техногенного риска от эксплуатации нефтегазового оборудования//Вестник кибернетики. 2012. № 11. С. 71-75.
- Bieda B. Stochastic Analysis in Production Process and Ecology Under Uncertainty/Berlin, New York: Springer, 2012. 189 pp.
- Hayes K. R. Uncertainty and Uncertainty Analysis Methods. Final report for the Australian Centre of Excellence for Risk Analysis (ACERA)/CSIRO Division of Mathematics, Informatics and Statistics, Hobart, Australia. 2011. 130 pp.
- Dutt L. S., Kurian M. Handling of Uncertainty A Survey//International Journal of Scientific and Research Publications, Volume 3, Issue 1, 2013. Pp. 1-4.
- Plattner Th., Plapp T. and Hebel B. Integrating public risk perception into formal natural hazard risk assessment//Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 6, 471-483, 2006.
- Vose D. Risk analysis: a quantitative guide/John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 3rd ed. Chichester, 2008. 729 pp.
- Van Hauwermeiren M., Vose D. and Vanden B Bossche S. A Compendium of Distributions (second edition). 2012. [ebook]. Pastorok R. et al. Role of Ecological Modeling in Risk Assessment//Human and Ecological Risk Assessment: Vol. 9, No. 4, 2003. Pp. 939-972.
- Sprenger J. Environmental Risk Analysis: Robustness is Essential for Precaution//Philosophy of Science, 79 (5). 2012. Pp. 881-892.
- Suter II G.W. Ecological Risk Assessment in the United States Environmental Protection Agency: A Historical Overview//Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management. -2008. Volume 4, Number 3. Pp. 285-289.
- Fox D. R. and Burgman M. Ecological risk assessment/In Melnick, E. and Everitt, B. (eds)., Encyclopedia of Quantitative Risk Assessment and Analysis. Pp 1600-1603.John Wiley & Sons Ltd, Chichester, UK. 2008.
- Pollard S. J. T. Ecological and public health risks: analysis and management/UNESCO Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems (EOLSS). 2002. Pp. 219-235.
- Guidelines for Ecological Risk Assessment. United States Environmental Protection Agency. EPA/630/R-95/002F. 1998. http://www.epa.gov/raf/publications/pdfs/ECOTXTBX.PDF.
- Rak A. et al. A guide to screening level ecological risk assessment/TSERAWG TG-090801. 2008. 26 pp.
- Guidance for Assessing Ecological Risks Posed by Chemicals: Screening Level Ecological Risk Assessment. HWB Guidance Document.Revision 2.0/New Mexico Environment Department Hazardous Waste Bureau. 2008. 116 pp.
- Хохлов Н. В. Управление риском/М.: 2001. 239 с.
- Яковлев В. В. Экологическая безопасность, оценка риска/Санкт-Петербургский государственный политехнический университет, СПб.: 2007. 399 с.
- Bowen C. Taming the Leviathan A New Approach to Risk for the Military Leader. 2012. http://ssrn.com/abstract=2182321.
- Ваганов П. А., Ман-Сунг Им. Экологические риски: учеб. пособие. Изд-е 2-е. СПб.: Изд-во СПбГУ, 2001. 152 с.
- Шмаль А. Г. Факторы экологической опасности и экологические риски/Издательство: МП «ИКЦ БНТВ», 2010 г., г. Бронницы, 192 с. Nel D. C., et al. Ecological Risk Assessment: A Tool for Implementing an Ecosystem Approach for Southern African Fisheries/WWF South Africa Report Series. 2007. 225 pp.
- Verdonck F. A. M. et al. Probabilistic ecological risk assessment framework for chemical substances/Proceedings International Conference on Integrated Assessment and Decision Support (iEMSs2002, Lugano, Italy, June 24-27, Vol. 1, 2002. P. 144-149.
- Ширкин Л. А., Трифонова Т. А. Техногенные системы и экологический риск: учеб. пособие/Владим. гос. ун-т. Владимир: Изд-во Владим. гос. ун-та, 2011. 79 с.
- Экологическая безопасность. Экологический риск/Пособие по специальности 011600 «Биология», 511100 «Экология и природопользование». Воронеж, 2003. 32 с.
- Environmental Health Risk Assessment - Guidelines for assessing human health risks from environmental hazards / Environmental Health Committee (enHealth), Canberra. 2012. 131 pp. URL: http://www.health.gov.au/internet/main/Publishing.nsf/Content/804F8795BAB FB1C7CA256F1900045479/$File/DoHA-EHRA-120910.pdf. Shoaf I. K. et al. Hazard Risk Assessment Instrument / UCLA Center for Public Health and Disasters. 2006. 89 pp.
- Martin B., Pearson A., Bauer B. An Ecological Risk Assessment of Wind Energy Development in Montana/The Nature Conservancy Helena, Montana. 2009. 57 pp.
- Schleier III J., Sharlene E. Sing S. and Peterson R. Regional ecological risk assessment for the introduction of Gambusia affinis (western mosquitofish) into Montana watersheds//Biol Invasions. 2008. 10. Pp. 1277-1287.
- Guidance for Ecological Risk Assessment: Levels I, II, III, IV. Final/Oregon Department of Environmental Quality. 1998. 88 pp.
- Fairman R. et al. Environmental Risk Assessment -Approaches, Experiences and Information Sources: Environmental issues report No 4./Prepared at Monitoring and Assessment Research Centre, King's College, London. EEA (European Environment Agency) Copenhagen, Denmark. 1999-2011. URL: http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/GH-07-97-595-EN-C2/riskindex.html
- ГОСТ Р 14.09-2005 Руководство по оценке риска в области экологического менеджмента/М.: Стандартинформ. 2010. 41 с.
- ГОСТ Р 51897-2002 Менеджмент риска. Термины и определения/М.: Госстандарт России. 2002. 12 с.
- Guidance for Conducting Ecological Risk Assessments/State of Ohio Environmental Protection Agency Division of Environmental Response and Revitalization. Lazarus Government Center. -Columbus, 2008. 130 pp.
- Ecological Risk Assessment Guidance. Federal Contaminated Sites Action Plan (FCSAP)/Azimuth Consulting Group Inc., Vancouver. 2012 215 pp.
- Guidelines on Risk Assessments and Safety Statements/The Health and Safety Authority. 2006, Dublin. 38 pp.
- Pollard S., Purchase D. and Herbert S. A Practical Guide to Environmental Risk Assessment for Waste Management Facilities.Guidance Note 25. Version: 2/National Centre for Risk Analysis and Options Appraisal, Environment Agency. London. 2000. 80 pp.
- O’Brien G. and Wepener V. Regional-scale risk assessment methodology using the Relative Risk Model (RRM) for surface freshwater aquatic ecosystems in South Africa//Water SA. Vol. 38, No. 2. 2012. Pp. 153-165.
- Munns W.R. and Jr. Mitro M.G. Assessing risks to populations at Superfund and RCRA sites characterizing effects on populations/EPA/600/R-06/038. ERASC-006. 2006. 88 pp.
- Woodbury P. and Weinstein D. Review of Methods for Developing Regional Probabilistic Risk Assessments, Part 2: Modeling Invasive Plant, Insect, and Pathogen Species. In: Pye J.M., Rauscher H.M, Sands Y., Lee D.C., Beatty J.S. Advances in threat assessment and their application to forest and rangeland management. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-802. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest and Southern Research Stations. 708 p. 2 vol. 2010. -Pp. 521-538.
- Molak V. (ed.). Fundamentals of risk analysis and risk management/CRC Press, Inc. Boca Raton, New York, London, Tokyo. 1997. 451 pp.
- Dale V., Meyer J. Advice to EPA on Advancing the Science and Application of Ecological Risk Assessment in Environmental Decision Making: A Report of the U.S. EPA Science Advisory Board/U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, Office of the Administrator, Science Advisory Board, 2007. 163 pp.
- Janssen C. Putting ecological realism in environmental risk assessment//Report on14th Annual CEFIC-LRI Workshop «Evolution or Revolution -Research priorities for future risk assessment». Brussels, 14-15 November 2012.
- Suter II, Glenn W., Munns, Wayne R. and Sekizawa. Types of Integration in Risk Assessment and Management, And Why They Are Needed//Human and Ecological Risk Assessment, 2003, 9:1. Pp. 273-279.
- Checkai R.T. et al. Selection of Assessment and Measurement Endpoints for Ecologincal Risk Assessment//U.S. Army biological technical assistance group. Report # SFIM-AEC-ER-TR-2002018. 2002. 9 pp.
- Addressing the New Challenges for Risk Assessment/SCENIHR, SCCS, SCHER. European Commission: Directorate D: Public Health Systems and Products. 2012. 154 pp. Review of current practices of environmental risk assessment within EFSA. Technicalreport/EuropeanFoodSafetyAuthority. 2011. 39 pp.
- Методические рекомендации по разработке и подготовке к принятию проектов технических регламентов/М.: Минэнерго РФ, 2006. 204 с.
- Frank C., et al. Managing risk in USAF force planning/RAND Corporation, United States Air Force under Contract FA7014-06-C-0001. 2009. 15 pp. http://www.rand.org.
- Xu L. et al. Nonlinear effect of climate on plague during the third pandemic in China//PNAS. 2011. 6 pp. www. href='contents.asp?titleid=6921' title='Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America'>PNAS.org/cgi/doi/10.1073/PNAS.1019486108.
- Zhou Y. et al. A New Approach to Ecological Risk Assessment: Simulating Effects of Global Warming on Complex Ecological Networks//Unifying Themes in Complex Systems. 2011. Pp. 342-350.
- Dessai S. and Sluijs J. van der. Uncertainty and Climate Change Adaptation -a Scoping Study/Copernicus Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation, Department of Science Technology and Society. Report NWS-E-2007-198. Utrecht. 2007. 97 pp.
- Abaza H., Bisset R., Sadler B. Environmental impact assessment and strategic environmental assessment: towards an integrated approach/United Nations Environment Programme, Geneva. -2004. 263 pp.
- Aramă M. et al. Advantages of new ecological impact and risk assessment models//U. P. B. Sci. Bull. Series D, Vol. 72, Iss.3, 2010. Pp. 213-222.
- Yager R., Kacprzyk J. and Fedrizzi M. Advances in the Dempster-Shafer Theory of Evidence/Wiley, 1994. 608 pp.
- Improvement of Risk Assessment in View of the Needs of Risk Managers and Policy Makers/SCENIHR, SCCS, SCHER. European Commission: Directorate D: Public Health Systems and Products. 2012. 75 pp.
- Benson S. Mainstreaming Disaster Risk Reduction into Development: Challenges and Experience in the Philippines/Geneva, Provention Consortium. 2009. 60 pp.
- A Risk Management Standard/AIRMIC, ALARM, IRM: 2002. 14 p. Slimak M. W., Dietz T. Personal Values, Beliefs, and Ecological Risk Perception//Risk Analysis, Vol. 26, No. 6, 2006. Pp. 1689-1705.
- Dunlap R. E. The New Environmental Paradigm Scale: From Marginality to Worldwide Use//The Journal of Environmental Education. Volume 40, Issue 1, 2008. Pp. 3-18.
Статья научная