The estimation of gross regional product leading indicator by temporal dissaggregation method

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Introduction. The estimation of gross regional product high-frequency leading indicator is relevant for the reliable analysis of current trends in regional economy and early understanding of its changes in the periods of high uncertainty since gross regional product is published on an annual basis. One approach to receive this indicator is a temporal disaggregation method, which has proven to be reasonable in foreign literature for disaggregating gross domestic product. At the same time, temporal disaggregation of regional economic time series has been understudied.

Temporal disaggregation, gross regional product, leading indicator, forecast, arima, region

Короткий адрес: https://sciup.org/147246917

IDR: 147246917   |   DOI: 10.17072/1994-9960-2024-3-253-268

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