Deep Ensemble Hybrid Model for Extremism Detection and Threat Inference in Counter-Terrorism Intelligence on Social Media

Social media’s worldwide expansion over the past two decades has significantly altered the dissemination of extremist narratives, creating both challenges and opportunities for counterterrorism efforts. Addressing critical gaps in the detection and classification of extremist content on social media platforms, this research supports earlier-stage analytical assessment for law enforcement and security agencies. Using datasets from the publicly available Global Terrorism Database (GTD, n > 209,000 incidents) and a curated corpus of labeled tweets (n = 17,410), a hybrid framework integrating machine learning and deep learning models through a late-fusion stacking architecture is developed. The proposed ensemble leverages contextual indicators derived from historical terrorism data alongside linguistic and behavioral signals from social media content to distinguish extremist from non-extremist activity. Evaluated under strict temporal validation, the model achieves an accuracy of 98.52%, precision of 97.01%, recall of 99.66%, and an AUC of 0.92 under controlled experimental conditions. To address ethical and transparency considerations, Shapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) are employed to enhance collectively indicate that integrating interpretability in automated decision-making. While the reported results reflect dataset-specific evaluation, the findings historical terrorism intelligence with temporally ordered social media analysis can support counterterrorism efforts by mitigating digital radicalization pathways and associated downstream physical security risks linked to terrorism and extremism through earlier analytical intervention.