Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast @volnc-esc-en
Journal articles - Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast
All articles: 1817
Scientific article
This article examines the structural transformation of the Republic of Armenia's real economy within the context of shifting industrial paradigms. In small open economies, structural changes and digitalization intensify under the influence of external shocks, necessitating a quantitative assessment of their contribution to output dynamics. This study aims to determine the extent to which changes in the sectoral structure, employment, and labor productivity align with the logic of transitioning from Industry 3.0 to the emerging elements of Industry 4.0 and the prerequisites for Industry 5.0. The research introduces scientific novelty by integrating comparative and systemic-structural analysis with econometric verification using an ARDL model. This approach includes adjusting for atypical shock periods with a dummy variable and accounting for changes in the internal structure of the ICT indicator. The empirical analysis draws on data from national statistics and international sources covering 2008–2025. The methodology employs statistical and comparative analysis, stationarity tests, the ARDL bounds test, an error correction model, and diagnostic and stability tests. The findings reveal that the transformation has been predominantly adaptive in nature, with limited potential for deeper technological advancement due to low R&D investment and weak technology transfer mechanisms. A limitation of this study is its reliance on aggregated macro-indicators and proxy variables, which opens avenues for future research involving a more detailed sectoral assessment of the Armenian economy's alignment with the demands of Industry 5.0.
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Eco-economic evaluation of emission treatment technologies efficiency at thermal power stations
Scientific article
The article substantiates the necessity of introducing the best available emission treatment technologies at thermal power plants. It studies in detail the available technologies of removing sulphur dioxide from thermal power stations’ emissions. The article proposes a methodology for evaluating eco-economic efficiency of using the best available technology on the example of sulphur dioxide emissions treatment by thermal power stations.
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Ecological and economic relations development in the innovation economy
Scientific article
The article offers the analysis of efficiency of nature management tools in an innovation economy. The analysis is based on the innovations introduced by Mondi Syktyvkar in the field of environment protection. The authors stands for the differential approach with implementation of economic and administrative tools.
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Ecological business as the major direction of the regional development's ecologization
Scientific article
The regional ecological business' problems, its place and its role in the regional economy in conditions of its transition to the model of the steady innovational development are considered in the article.
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Ecological capital operation mode and path of Poyang lake eco-economic zone
Scientific article
In recent years, ecological capital has begun to draw the attention of the theoretical circle as a concept by which people enhance their understanding of the importance of ecological resources. Through market-oriented means, people strengthen the ecological capital operation to solve the problem of the deteriorating ecological environment, which also gradually get attention from all sectors of society. However, there are still few scholars to carry out in-depth studies on regional ecological capital from the perspective of operation mode and operation path. This study constructs a ecological capital operation mode of Poyang Lake Eco-Economic Zone and explores a mode operation path with Poyang Lake Eco- Economic Zone as specific object of study. Poyang Lake Eco-Economic Zone has abundant ecological resources, therefore how to convert these ecological resources into ecological capital is the key to achieve green development in Poyang Lake Eco-Economic Zone, and also an important link in Jiangxi’s ecological civilization construction...
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Ecological compensation mechanism in water conservation area: a case study of Dongjiang river
Scientific article
The appropriate economic compensation from downstream to upstream watershed is important to solve China’s social and economic imbalances between regions and can potentially enhance water resources protection and ecological security. The study analyzes the implementation of ecological compensation policy and related legal basis under ecological compensation mechanism theory and practice patterns, based on current natural environment and socio-economic development of national origin in Dongjiang water conservation areas. Under the principle of “Users pay”, the Dongjiang River is the subject of ecological compensation and recipient. By using the “cost-benefit analysis” and “cost method of industrial development opportunity”, we estimate that the total ecological compensation amounted to 513.35 million yuan. When estimated by the indicators such as water quantity, water quality and water use efficiency, we establish the “environmental and ecological protection cost sharing model” and measure the total cost of protecting downstream watershed areas, the Guangdong Province, is about 108.61 million yuan. The implementation of the Dongjiang source region that follows the principles of ecological compensation and approaches are also designed.
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Ecological protection in underdeveloped areas of China (the case study of Hubei province)
Article
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Ecological protection of underdeveloped regions in china: a case study of Jiangxi province
Scientific article
The article presented scientific approaches to ecological protection in the underdeveloped regions of China. It describes its organization in the periods of economic recovery and rapid economic development. The article also covers acute issues concerning the enhancement of ecological protection at present.
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Scientific article
Social factors of endogenous economic growth are becoming the subject of modern research increasingly frequently. The contribution of human capital individual parameters and income inequality indicators are the most studied ones. Cross-country studies lead to conflicting conclusions. The results of Russian research are generally unambiguous, since the regional level of analysis is more similar in terms of institutional conditions and the level of socio-economic development. However, they do not define the nature of the impact of a number of significant social indicators on regional economic growth. In this regard, the purpose of the paper is to determine the nature of the influence of a set of social indicators on the regional economic growth dynamics by means of econometric modeling tools. The methodological basis is made up by the epistemological tools, in particular, system, hypothesis-deductive and dialectical approaches, as well as the methods of content analysis and econometric modeling. The most significant results characterizing the scientific novelty of the presented research include the following: 1) it is determined that the impact of the population's birth rate, mortality and morbidity on GRP corresponds to the nature of the dependencies identified for countries having experienced the second demographic transition; 2) it is established that the character of influence of the indicators of “life expectancy”, and “the number of students studying in bachelor, specialist, master degree programs” and “the number of employees with higher education in the region's economy” on the GRP does not correspond to the trends in developed countries; 3) it is proved that the inconsistency of the obtained results is a consequence of the underestimation of human capital as the main factor in the development of the Russian economy at the present stage; 4) the extent and consequences of the restraining effect of the analyzed social indicators on the dynamics of regional economic growth are determined. Based on the results of econometric modeling, the priorities of regional socio-economic policy for the medium term are identified, depending on the level of their impact. The authors associate the prospects for future research with a deeper study of the impact of life expectancy and mortality factors on the regional economic growth, as well as the verification of this model for the entire set of regions of the Russian Federation.
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Economic activity in Russian regions
Scientific article
The paper deals with the issues of concentration of economic activity in Russian regions influenced not only by factors of the “first nature” - presence of minerals, fertile land, favorable geographic position, but also by factors of the “second nature”, in particular, the agglomeration effects and potential savings in the scale. Analysis of the geographic concentration and the region-specific focus reflects the general trend in the concentration of industrial production, investment and human resources, provides the necessary information framework for a harmonized economic policy. The purpose for the study is to theoretically justify and analyze economic activity concentration in terms of assessment of concentration and specialization of Russian regions over time. The paper reveals terminological aspects of concentration, agglomeration, specialization, agglomeration economics and urbanization. The applied methodological tools of assessment include the localization factor, Herfindahl-Hirschman and Krugman concentration and specialization indices, Gini index...
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Economic and qualimetric assessment of pine and spruce species in the Vologda oblast
Scientific article
The Vologda Oblast is among the wooded regions of Russia. Wood requirements of our region, neighboring territories and other countries have been covered for many decades due to the intensive exploitation of forests. At present, the Vologda Oblast that increases production volumes is a leader in wood felling and processing. Intensive forest exploitation has deteriorated the quality and species of wood and reduced the share of valuable coniferous plantations. It is possible to solve these problems due to growing economically valuable species of wood in the logged areas. Economic and qualimetric analysis of pine and spruce species in the Vologda Oblast proves that it is reasonable to grow spruce species in the southern taiga subzone in order to produce pulp wood. This will increase the pulpwood productivity of forest plantations and efficiency of timber production in the region.
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Economic and social changes in Russia's coal industry during the crisis
Scientific article
In this article the features of the global economic crisis’ influence in its sharp phase (the 4th quarter of 2008 and the first half of 2009) on Russia’s coal industry are considered. It is shown, that its restructuring in 1994 - 2007 allowed to alleviate the global crisis’ influence. Major factors of the crisis’ negative influence and basic anti-recessionary actions are formulated. Attributes of the branch’s outlet from the crisis are designated. Opportunities and prospects of the coal-mining industry’s development are appreciated within the framework of Russia’s Power Strategy till 2030 and necessity of the transition from the fuel circuit of development to the coal-mining industry’s diversity on the basis of the state innovational policy is shown.
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Scientific article
The transformations taking place in the socio-cultural space of Russia in the last three decades determine various aspects of human behavior, including economic behavior. The aim of the study is to assess the influence of the basic components of the socio-cultural space of the Arctic region on how the population develops economic behavior strategies, among which are values, norms, attitudes, social well-being, social capital, human capital, identity, and cultural consumption. The article provides a brief description of modern approaches to the study of economic behavior based on interdisciplinary links between economics, sociology and other sciences. Further, with the help of sociological research, we identify and describe trends in the economic behavior of the population of an Arctic region – the Arkhangelsk Region. With the help of G.S. Pospelov’s decision matrices we assess the influence of the components of the socio-cultural space on the choice of an economic behavior strategy and determine the structural hierarchy of the components according to the degree of this influence. In particular, we show that the impact of the basic components on economic behavior demonstrates high stability, while the most significant structural contribution is made by social well-being and the values of “materialism” / “post-materialism”. Scientific novelty of the research lies both in the application of an interdisciplinary approach to the study of the economic behavior of the population of the Arctic region, and in assessing the impact of various structural elements of the socio-cultural space on the manifestation of a particular type of economic behavior of individuals and households (consumer, savings, and investment). Practical significance of the approach we propose is related to the possibility of its further use in order to design models and development programs for various Arctic territories and regions that differ in socio-economic, ethno-cultural and value characteristics and strategies of economic behavior of the population.
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Economic behavior: analysis and prospects
Scientific article
Efficient social policy should be based on the understanding of strategies which Russian families use for adaptation to a difficult economic situation in the country. This understanding is promoted by regular research into people’s consumer behaviour and by sociological surveys of savings strategies. Scientists are studying the investment behaviour of population. Consumer behaviour, savings behaviour and investment behaviour are the elements of economic behaviour of population. The integrated research into these components gives the greatest effect for enhancing the efficiency of social policy. The “Taganrog” Project is one of such integrated studies. This project has been implemented within forty years; its main purpose is to study various aspects of life of households in this southern city that used to be an industrial city.
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Economic efficiency of innovation production of removable building structures
Scientific article
Open joint stock company «Vologda building designs and road machines factory» realized the innovative program 454.3 million roubles worth of mobile buildings manufacturing in 2007 - 2009. That madepossible to double productivity of block-containers, increase sales volume from 1731.2 to 2183.9 million roubles, increase profit from 260 to 399.4 million roubles and keep personnel size in crisis years 2008 - 2009.
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Scientific article
The article deals with the current state and analysis of scientific and technical activities of the Khantyy-Mansiysk autonomous okrug - Ugra.
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Scientific article
The article examines regional peculiarities of the local market formation of fruit and berry production in the Russian North from the theoretic perspective of new economic geography. It examines modern market development trends, presents the economic estimation of the market development potential of fruit and berry production in the regions of the European North of the Russian Federation.
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