Статьи журнала - Economic and Social Changes: Facts, Trends, Forecast

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Assessment of the level of socio-economic development in municipal formations of the Vologda oblast

Assessment of the level of socio-economic development in municipal formations of the Vologda oblast

Voroshilov Nikolai Vladimirovich, Gubanova Elena Sergeevna

Статья научная

Socio-economic development of regions depends to a great extent on the state of economy and social sphere in its constituent municipalities, because this level of government provides basic services to the population, and ensures comfortable living conditions, which determines the growth of the standard of living and quality of life. Under the conditions of the increase in the differentiation of socio-economic development of territories it becomes especially important to identify and study groups (types) of territories with similar development factors, conditions and parameters in order to implement specific measures of regional policy. The authors propose and test a methodology of comparative analysis, which used different techniques of standardization of indicators, which makes it possible to assess the level of socio-economic development of municipal and urban districts in the Vologda Oblast, and to distinguish 5 types of territories on the basis of calculation of the integral index that aggregates 18 initial statistical indicators. The article shows that the highest level of socio-economic development is characteristic of the cities of Vologda and Cherepovets and adjacent areas; the farther from the oblast center, the lower this level. The typological classification of the municipalities makes it possible to propose main directions and instruments of regional policy for territories with different levels of development.

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Assessment of the performance of the region's agriculture

Assessment of the performance of the region's agriculture

Anishchenko Alesya Nikolayevna, Selimenkov Roman Yuryevich

Статья научная

The article presents the socio-economic characteristics of the activity of the region’s agricultural enterprises by the results of the questionnaire survey of enterprises’ managers conducted in 2013. The obtained information has been the basis for identifying problems in the functioning of the Vologda Oblast agriculture and proposes the ways to improve the current situation.

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Assessment of the potential of large business’ participation in the socio-economic development of the Arctic region

Assessment of the potential of large business’ participation in the socio-economic development of the Arctic region

Snegov Viktor Vladimirovich, Dyadik Vladimir Vladimirovich

Статья научная

The article deals with the issue of corporate social responsibility (CSR) of large corporations and studies its role in the life of local communities in Russia’s Arctic regions. The authors summarize some foreign and domestic theoretical studies and propose a classification of CSR forms and development stages. The obtained theoretical data serves as the basis for the analysis of CSR at the largest mining enterprises of the Murmansk Oblast, which is presented in the article.

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Assessment of the reaction of cyclical unemployment to the economic decline and recovery growth in Russia

Assessment of the reaction of cyclical unemployment to the economic decline and recovery growth in Russia

Blinova Tatyana V., Rusanovskii Viktor A., Markov Vladimir A.

Статья научная

The purpose of the research is to conduct the econometric modeling of the interconnection between changes of the output and unemployment levels in Russia by disaggregating the periods of the decline and economic growth. Research methods are based on a modified Okun’s model which reflects the impact of changes in the output volumes on the dynamics of the unemployment level. The sample includes 79 Russian regions and uses annual (2000-2019) and quarterly (2010-2019) data. The results obtained showed that the Okun’s coefficient is negative in each studied specification, which corresponds to the theoretical content of the interaction between macro-economic parameters. Middle-term (2010- 2019) values of the Okun’s coefficient (-0.105) are acquired on the basis of the Generalized Linear Model assessments, which is free from perturbations associated with quarterly parameter fluctuations. The Okun’s coefficient value, calculated according to quarterly data, is around -0.05. We statistically analyzed the “asymmetry effects” on the labor market during the economic decline and recovery growth on the basis of annual data (2000-2019). Assessments of the econometric models showed that the Okun’s coefficient displays stronger reaction of the unemployment to the decline (-0.167) in comparison with the recovery growth (-0.090). The novelty of the research results is related to the construction of the econometric models reflecting the impact of changes in the output models on the dynamics of the unemployment level in Russia in 2000-2019 and disaggregated periods of the economic decline and recovery growth. The following development of this research will be related to the assessment of the impact of the economic recession on the unemployment level in Russian regions. The results may be used for conducting anti-crisis policy in the labor market during the economic recession.

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Assessment of the regional development strategy implementation

Assessment of the regional development strategy implementation

Uskova Tamara Vitalevna, Selimenkov Roman Yurevich, Asanovich Valerii Yakovlevich

Статья научная

The article considers the issue concerning the formation of an effective mechanism to implement the strategies for socio-economic development in the region. The authors focus on the imperfection of the regional strategic planning system. This problem has become critical in the time of the global financial and economic crisis at the end of 2008. The article indicates the importance of monitoring as a tool to assess the implementation of the strategy on the basis of analyzed consequences of the global financial crisis for the regional economy. The authors present their own approach to estimating the strategy implementation according to the dynamic normal method. The method presupposes that it is possible to carry out the assessment on the basis of comparison of the achieved level with the reference model (matrix of domination) of the economic system functioning. Testing of the authors’ method has helped assess the implementation of the strategy for the Vologda Oblast development at the tactical and strategic level and identify the main problems of socio-economic development.

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Assessment of the regions' socio-economic development levels (in the case of the Komi Republic, the Arkhangelsk and Vologda oblasts)

Assessment of the regions' socio-economic development levels (in the case of the Komi Republic, the Arkhangelsk and Vologda oblasts)

Lazhentsev Vitaliy Nikolaevich

Статья научная

The author made an attempt to enhance the reliability of indicators that reflect the regions' development levels and their analysis linkage with actual problems of socio-economic policy and spatial integration. In order to increase the objectivity of assessing the level of the regions' socio-economic development it is proposed to use indicator of value added per person employed taking into account the regional economy. The level of social development, according to the author, most aptly reflects the ratio of per capita income with the subsistence minimum. This, ultimately, will determine the vector of regional policy in the direction of social justice and sustainable development. The paper agreed the need for harmonization of the Russian Federation subjects and the formation of inter-regional programs of development of “transit” infrastructure “related” municipalities.

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Assessment of the stock of orders of the executor of ship repair works on the basis of labour balance

Assessment of the stock of orders of the executor of ship repair works on the basis of labour balance

Kibitkin Andrey Ivanovich, Turchaninova Tatyana Vladimirovna

Статья научная

Present-day ship repair production is characterized by various work patterns, dynamics, work specialization, complexity and diversity of tasks, faced by management staff. Taking these peculiarities into account, one should not only hire personnel, but also plan the production activity of workers, which is impossible without the use of modern economic and mathematical methods. In particular, the use of the laws of labour balance contributes to a more realistic, objective planning, foresight of the failures in the implementation of the plans and adequate response to emergencies.

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Assessment of the tourist potential of the region's hunting sector (case study of the Vologda oblast)

Assessment of the tourist potential of the region's hunting sector (case study of the Vologda oblast)

Trudov Yuriy Nikolayevich

Статья научная

The author, using his own methodology, through the example of the Vologda Oblast, reveals the main parameters of gross turnover in the hunting sector with regard to hunting services; provides methodological tools for calculating gross turnover of tourist services in hunting, determines the degree of development and prospects of the tourism potential of the hunting sector, the role of hunting tourism in the region’s economic development.

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Asymmetry problems of structural shifts in regional economy

Asymmetry problems of structural shifts in regional economy

Rumyantsev Nikita M., Leonidova Ekaterina G.

Статья научная

In the absence of a significant dynamics of economic growth rates in the Russian Federation and its regions and the exhaustion of the recovery increase potential, a negative impact of economic crises and existing export-raw production orientation manifest themselves especially clearly. As a result, a necessity to find new development drivers, which includes a great significance of the structural factor of the economic growth at the regional level in the context of achieving economic growth of the country, becomes relevant. In this regard, the purpose of the research is the analysis of structural shifts in regional economy at different phases of the economic dynamics. The novelty of the research is the definition of the contribution of structural shifts in the region's economic growth at different phases of the economic dynamics. The methodology is based on the calculation of structural shifts' indicators - magnitude, index, velocity, and power. We conducted the analysis of sectoral structural transformations of the regional economy on the basis of the Vologda Oblast's materials for 2005-2018. The research revealed a low diversification and efficiency of adding economy into global chains of value added. We calculated the impact of the structural factor on the growth of gross regional product depending on an increase or decline in the economy. The activation of the potential of agriculture, mechanical engineering, and electronic industry sectors is seen as very promising. We calculated the multipliers of the impact of the stimulation of the proposed sectors on the basis of the inter-sectoral balance model. We reviewed the structural-investment policy as an important instrument of changing national economic proportions. The idea of forming the benchmarking system, concerning the efficiency of conducted structural policy, was substantiated. A practical importance of the research is an opportunity to use its results by authorities for the formation of regional structural policy. We will continue the studies related to the determination of the dependence of regional economy's growth dynamics on structural dynamics in the investment process, organization of the factor analysis of the industry shifts and economic growth, and formation of the system of optimal indicators of the structural policy benchmarking.

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At an intermediate stage on the way toward cultural sovereignty

At an intermediate stage on the way toward cultural sovereignty

Ilyin V.A., Morev M.V.

Статья научная

The past two months of socio-political life in Russia have been rich in important events: the World Russian People’s Council (November 27-28), the official approval on December 7 by the Federation Council of the date of the presidential election (March 17, 2024) and Vladimir Putin’s announcement of his decision to run for president (December 8), his communication with Russian citizens in the live broadcast format, combined with a press conference with journalists (December 14). All these events at the end of Vladimir Putin’s 4th presidential term sum up the events of the past six years and at the same time focus our attention on the tasks that society expects the head of state to address during his upcoming presidential term. The following issues are highlighted as being of increasing importance: achieving the goals of the special military operation, forming the national idea and ideology, nationalizing the elites, increasing the effectiveness of dynamic growth in the standard of living and quality of life; these events are analyzed in the paper. We consider in more detail the work of Vladimir Putin aimed at addressing the issue regarding the nationalization of elites throughout his presidential terms. Based on expert assessments, we analyze the factors that prevent the President from solving this problem promptly; most likely, the solution of the problem of nationalization of elites will be postponed for 2030-2036, that is, for the possible (according to the current Constitution of the Russian Federation) sixth presidential term of Vladimir Putin. Nevertheless, according to many experts, without qualitative ideological changes within the elites (primarily in the system of public administration, culture, education), as well as without achieving the goals of the special military operation, it is impossible to make significant progress in shaping the image of the country’s future, achieving the consent of the majority of the population on the essence of a new Social Contract, which is based on the image of a just social state with equal opportunities for the main segments of the population on the territory of Russia. The article provides a comparative analysis of the most significant public statements that Vladimir Putin made throughout his presidential terms: his first program article “Russia at the turn of the Millennium” (1999), the RF President’s speech at the conference on international security policy (“Munich speech” on February 10, 2007), all the speeches of the head of state at the World Russian People’s Council (December 13, 2001, November 1, 2018 and November 28, 2023). The conclusion is made about Vladimir Putin’s key personal qualities (perseverance, strategic foresight, courage in setting ambitious goals, systems approach to their implementation) necessary for a national leader to continue the development of Russia along the path of strengthening cultural and, in general, national sovereignty.

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At the center of attention - problems of the economy and society modernization

At the center of attention - problems of the economy and society modernization

Uskova Tamara Vitalevna

Статья

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Attracting educational migrants to universities: an overview of institutional resources

Attracting educational migrants to universities: an overview of institutional resources

Rostovskaya T.K., Vasilieva E.N.

Статья научная

The paper presents an overview of key institutional resources for attracting educational migrants, including compatriots, to Russian universities. The theoretical base includes Russian and foreign works on the theory of educational migration and adaptation of foreign students. It is revealed that there are not enough studies evaluating institutional resources to attract educational migrants to universities. It is mainly due to the fact that the work with foreign students in universities is embedded in the concept of “soft power”. The novelty of the study consists in our attempt to fill this gap, review institutional resources for attracting educational migrants to universities, and systematize the data of theoretical and empirical studies. The practical side of the problem is reflected as well: statistical indicators from various Russian sources on educational migration and voluntary resettlement of compatriots to Russia are presented in fragments, which makes it difficult to compare them. We use qualitative analysis of documents in the public domain to obtain the data that made it possible to review the main institutional resources of Russian universities to attract educational migrants, including compatriots. We consider which resources of Russian universities in working with foreign students can be interpreted as “attracting” factors; whether there are special tools for working with foreign students from CIS countries and/or compatriots. We draw conclusions that Russian universities do not have well-elaborated strategies to encourage young compatriots (Russophones) to participate in educational migration. Universities do not consider this category of applicants as a separate group, which would help optimize management decisions focused on the development of migration, demographic and educational policies. These circumstances bring to the fore the need to optimize institutional resources and management decisions regarding the attraction of Russophones to Russian universities.

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